Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.821554 0.960501 1.115582 1.301495 1.518347 1.763356 2.061297
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.610016 0.797196 1.030102 1.341213 1.746143 2.255756 2.946710
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.485225 0.686705 0.957664 1.348740 1.899255 2.647608 3.744377
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.397850 0.600645 0.891109 1.337513 2.007156 2.976127 4.488761
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.335876 0.536192 0.839145 1.330697 2.109662 3.299259 5.260329
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.292826 0.491362 0.806561 1.343369 2.236766 3.668366 6.146064
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.247198 0.434107 0.744287 1.296433 2.257369 3.866274 6.777281
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.233398 0.427470 0.762987 1.385143 2.513567 4.481036 8.189863
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.201875 0.384586 0.712795 1.345144 2.537271 4.696182 8.925278
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.174644 0.345293 0.663108 1.297929 2.539145 4.868774 9.600603
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.152540 0.312402 0.620499 1.257341 2.546308 5.048981 10.309943
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.140226 0.296979 0.609096 1.275631 2.669839 5.465635 11.538211
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.135710 0.297317 0.629864 1.363799 2.950862 6.238758 13.619983
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.126970 0.287556 0.628830 1.406717 3.144483 6.861284 15.479776
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.116250 0.271822 0.612853 1.414697 3.262970 7.339313 17.090380
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.105338 0.253983 0.589691 1.402928 3.334743 7.722823 18.538409
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.096051 0.238565 0.569828 1.395778 3.415698 8.136475 20.113400
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.089117 0.227793 0.559246 1.409070 3.546714 8.682255 22.081264
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.079228 0.208251 0.525102 1.359841 3.517799 8.842915 23.119737
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.078186 0.211142 0.546328 1.452884 3.859408 9.953870 26.729336
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.070255 0.194807 0.516957 1.410931 3.846301 10.172084 28.038337
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.062845 0.178810 0.486342 1.361410 3.806231 10.315406 29.167023
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.056542 0.164975 0.459636 1.318840 3.779230 10.489694 30.406373